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NaluMoney Retirement Projection Methodology

This document describes the mathematical models, assumptions, and data sources used in NaluMoney's Monte Carlo retirement projections. 

Recent material changes (2026.06.10)​

Document version: 2026.06.10

In-app summary: Settings → Methodology (synced with this document version).
Recent material changes (2026.06.10)

  • WEP/GPO repeal (Social Security Fairness Act, PL 118-273) — no longer applied for benefits payable Jan 2024+.

  • ACA 400% FPL cliff restored — ARPA/IRA enhanced subsidies expired 2025-12-31.

  • MC bucket withdrawal tax gross-up — deficit draws fund their own tax in tax-bucket mode.

  • LTC probability — 0 = never; legacy decode defaults to 1.0.

  • Joint Life RMD — IRA-aggregated pool only in per-pool Monte Carlo aggregation.

  • 2026 PIA bend points corrected to official SSA values ($1,286 / $7,749).

  • OBBB senior bonus phaseout, per-spouse — $6,000 per eligible person 65+ ($12,000 MFJ both 65+), phasing out at 6% of MAGI above $75,000 single / $150,000 joint, data-driven from federal JSON. MAGI proxy errs conservative.

  • Social Security COLA SSOT — single 2.2% long-run COLA constant referenced by all benefit and withdrawal paths.

  • Savings snapshot — onboarding total-savings estimate; the derived unallocated remainder feeds Monte Carlo as a pre-tax bucket (conservative) and auto-retires as real accounts are added.

Contents

Below is the full latest version of the methodology document.  

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